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Aviation Trends
Markets · Frontiers · Forecasts
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Markets
Overall trends in top 20 airlines
2026 Mar 03
Top 20 airlines route growth slow as airlines add capacity and frequency to existing routes vs opening new routes; ASK growth +4.3% YoY outpacing capacity growth +2.8% YoY, indicating longer flight sectors and long-haul expansion; leaders: AA capacity 280m seats, AA frequency 2.3m departures, UA ASKs 537b, FR one-way routes 2.7k.
Frontiers
Fewer flights, higher fares
2026 Mar 03
Due to sudden Mid East airport and airspace closures and restrictions along with airline flight suspensions, fewer flights equating to lower seat and cargo capacity resulting in increased demand and higher fares, well above normal into multiples.
Forecasts
Forecast oil price hikes
2026 Mar 03
JP Morgan predicts Brent crude up to $130/bbl reacting to prolonged ME conflict leading to closure of Strait of Hormuz, transit for 20% of global energy supplies; immediate reaction to conflict drove Brent crude up 10% to $80/bbl.
Frontiers
RR UltraFan 30 & UltraFan 80
2026 Mar 03
Roll-Royce advises UltraFan core used with two different fan diameters or one separate core for each fan diameter determined based on aircraft selected for engine; RR intends to run demonstrator in 2028 with core based on Pearl 10x engine and fan diameter slightly less than 229 cm.
Markets
A340 scheduled passenger operators
2026 Mar 03
A340 operators 7 flying 44 units: Conviasa -200 -600, Edelweiss -300, Kam Air -300, Lufthansa -300 -600, Mahan Air -200 -300 -600, South Africa Airways -300, Swiss International Air Lines -300; sum operating models: 3u -200, 31u -300, 0u -500, 10u -600.
Markets
Glossary highlight: Mach
2026 Mar 02
Mach represents ratio (not measure) between velocity of flight and speed of sound, in local conditions such as air density; less than Mach 0.8 subsonic, Mach 0.8 to Mach 1.2 transonic, more than Mach 1.2 supersonic; Mach 5 or higher hypersonic.
Markets
Aircraft brief: B787-9
2026 Mar 02
B789 widebody, built 722 on-order 65 active 712 units, all Pax cabins, operators 57; engines GEnx 474, Trent1000 238; build 2013-Present TC 2014 EIS 2014; predecessor none, competitor A339 A359, successor none; seats 420 max typ 260-380, payload range 13,950 km; family B788 B789 B78X; see AirLibrary website for B787-9 characteristics, operators, counts, values.
Frontiers
Aura Aero hybrid airliner first order
2026 Mar 02
Pan Europeenne Air Service placed firm order for Aura Aero’s ERA hybrid-electric regional aircraft, available 2030; ERA seats 19, range 1,500 km, runway 800 m; Aura Aero reports LOI with 16 operators for 700+ aircraft.
Airline Developments
Status · Fleet · Intent
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ZTO Cargo Airlines
ChinaIntent
Add capacity HUA A332 P2F
2026 Mar
Airline
I8
Russia
Fleet
Returned model A148
2026 Mar 03
Airline
I8
Russia
Status
Rebranded Angara Airlines
2026 Feb 19
Airline
Daallo Airlines Somalia
Somalia
Status
Revoked Puntland flight permit
2026 Mar 01
Airline
Avior Airlines
Venezuela
Fleet
Retired model FK50
2026 Jan 30
Airline
I8
Russia
Status
Lost license AOC
2025 Nov
Airline
CVsky
Cape Verde
Status
Start Operations under own AOC
2026 Mar
Airline
CVsky
Cape Verde
Status
License issued AOC
2025 Dec 24
Fleet Capacities
Aircraft Operator > Flight Provider
Aircraft Operator
Avion Express Malta
Malta
Flight Provider
Viva Mexico
Mexico
Start
A320ceo
2025 Nov 21
Aircraft Operator
KlasJet
Lithuania
Flight Provider
Sundor International Airlines
Israel
Start
B737-800
2024 Dec 28
Aircraft Operator
KlasJet
Lithuania
Flight Provider
Sundor International Airlines
Israel
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B737-800
2024 Oct 06
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